The market moved

+5.5ppin 24h · now 85¢

Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

Politics · resolves May 26 · vol $4.9K

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 85¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the tx-233 congressional district seat in t — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in t — https://democrats.org/.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.