The market moved

-39.0ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will "Collat" or "Collateral" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?

Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $145.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 39.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @eslcs — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @ESLCS — https://www.youtube.com/@ESLCS.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.