The market moved
+5.3ppin 24h · now 48¢
Will Connacht win the 2026 United Rugby Championship Grand Final?
Other · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 48¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.