The market moved
-38.8ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 10, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 31 · vol $138.74
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 38.8pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.