The market moved
-0.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?
Entertainment · resolves May 19 · vol $98.08
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number 1 song on the billboard hot 100 chart titled “week of may 23, 2026” — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 23, 2026” — https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
- Market resolves in 3.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.