The market moved
-2.0ppin 24h · now 13¢
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $5.17
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 13¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.