The market moved
-1.5ppin 24h · now 18¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on May 31?
Tech · resolves May 31 · vol $418.61
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.