The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 71¢

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports · resolves Jun 27 · vol $995.84

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 71¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on fifa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: fifa.com — https://www.fifa.com/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.