The market moved
-6.1ppin 24h · now 33¢
Will Eric Shaw advance from the CA-48 primary election?
Politics · resolves Jun 2 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 33¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.1pp shift. Resolution depends on sos.ca.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: sos.ca.gov — https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.