The market moved

-0.9ppin 24h · now

Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?

AI · resolves May 31 · vol $816.69

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.