The market moved
-28.0ppin 24h · now 20¢
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?
Macro · resolves Jul 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 28.0pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.