The market moved

+2.5ppin 24h · now 55¢

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

AI · resolves Feb 28 · vol $15.15

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 55¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on scale.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: scale.com — https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.