The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

AI · resolves Feb 28 · vol $10.09

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on scale.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: scale.com — https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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-0.1pp · Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | Orrery