The market moved
-7.0ppin 24h · now 71¢
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $307.32
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 71¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.