The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 52¢

Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

Politics · resolves Nov 7 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 52¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-2.5pp · Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | Orrery