The market moved

+3.2ppin 24h · now 14¢

Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?

Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $47.20

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 14¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.2pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.