The market moved
+4.5ppin 24h · now 38¢
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $150.14
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 38¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible sources — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible sources.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.