The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now

Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Entertainment · resolves May 20 · vol $422.58

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 35.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.