The market moved

-0.7ppin 24h · now

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% and 2.99%?

Macro · resolves Jan 12 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage change in india’s consumer price index (cpi) over the 12-month period ending december 2026 (year-on-ye — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Ye — https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.