The market moved
+0.4ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $193.61
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 3¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on israeli government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Israeli government.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.