The market moved

-10.1ppin 24h · now 67¢

Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?

Politics · resolves Oct 31 · vol $7.55

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 67¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.