The market moved
+0.2ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
Other · resolves May 20 · vol $817.85
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 2¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.
What to verify
- No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 32.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.