The market moved
+0.1ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $16.32
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 11¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.