The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Joshua McKee be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $10.39
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the al-01 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in th — https://www.rnc.org/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.