The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 67¢

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $335.55

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 67¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: White House.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.