The market moved

+5.3ppin 24h · now 22¢

Will Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

Politics · resolves Aug 14 · vol $9.99

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 22¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the first individual to be formally nominated by the republican party for vice president of the united states in the — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the — https://www.gop.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.