Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 84¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.