The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 31¢

Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?

Politics · resolves Oct 3 · vol $39.79

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 31¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.