The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 13¢

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Sports · resolves Oct 21 · vol $1.3K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 13¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-0.5pp · Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Orrery