The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 25¢

Will Lincoln International's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?

Business · resolves May 20 · vol $20.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 25¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-0.5pp · Will Lincoln International's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day? | Orrery