The market moved

-4.3ppin 24h · now 23¢

Will "Marla Mindelle, Constantine Rousouli and Tye Blue" win Best Book of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Other · resolves Jun 7 · vol $561.19

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.tonyawards.com/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.