The market moved

-1.1ppin 24h · now

Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Sports · resolves Jun 6 · vol $314.32

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.