The market moved
-3.3ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Sports · resolves Jul 20 · vol $1.5K
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.3pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.