The market moved

-5.2ppin 24h · now 11¢

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?

Macro · resolves Jan 8 · vol $70.00

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage change in mexico’s consumer price index over the 12-month period ending december 2026 (annual inflatio — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflatio — https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.