Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 5¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage change in mexico’s consumer price index over the 12-month period ending december 2026 (annual inflatio — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflatio — https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.