The market moved

+14.3ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

Entertainment · resolves May 18 · vol $7.6K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to how much "michael" weekend box office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend — https://www.the-numbers.com/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 0.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+14.3pp · Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m? | Orrery