Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 98¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 21.3pp shift. Resolution depends on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made — https://www.strategy.com/purchases.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 17.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.