The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 65¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $4.6K
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 65¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on united nations — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: United Nations.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.