Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.