The market moved
+0.8ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
Politics · resolves Oct 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 3¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.8pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.