The market moved

-0.3ppin 24h · now

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Geopolitics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: NATO.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-0.3pp · Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | Orrery