The market moved

-0.3ppin 24h · now 20¢

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?

Other · resolves May 31 · vol $205.91

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in inches in central park, new york city between may 1 and may 31, 2026, 11:59pm et according — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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-0.3pp · Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May? | Orrery