The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
AI · resolves Jun 30 · vol $181.43
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 11¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.