The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 33¢

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 33¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on openai's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.5pp · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Orrery