The market moved
-2.0ppin 24h · now 6¢
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Sports · resolves Nov 12 · vol $70.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.