The market moved
+56.5ppin 24h · now 99¢
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
Politics · resolves May 17 · vol $3.4K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 56.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.