The market moved

+61.8ppin 24h · now 99¢

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

Politics · resolves May 17 · vol $1.0K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 61.8pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.