The market moved
-25.5ppin 24h · now 17¢
Will Patrick Wilver be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?
Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $5.27
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 25.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the ga-01 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in th — https://democrats.org/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.