The market moved
+24.0ppin 24h · now 68¢
Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Other · resolves Jun 30 · vol $394.92
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 68¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 24.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.