The market moved

-3.9ppin 24h · now

Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Sports · resolves May 19 · vol $148.22

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.9pp shift. Resolution depends on which show this update ranks as the #2 global netflix show — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 12.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-3.9pp · Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | Orrery